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Economist Cautions Against Taxing Online Gambling Amid Indonesia’s Focus on ‘Underground Economy’

Unpacking the Controversy: Taxing Indonesia’s Underground Economy

Jakarta’s Economic Landscape

In recent discussions surrounding Indonesia’s economy, one voice has stirred significant controversy: Deputy Finance Minister Anggito Abimanyu. His proposal to tax revenues from the underground economy, particularly focusing on sectors like online gambling and gaming, has ignited debates among economists, policymakers, and the public. This proposition hinges on the notion that these unregulated activities present an untapped source of tax revenue, potentially benefiting the state financially.

Understanding the Underground Economy

The underground economy, often referred to as the informal sector, comprises unrecorded or unreported economic activities that escape official scrutiny and statistics. In Indonesia, this sector is particularly vibrant, with many citizens engaging in activities like online sports betting, often on foreign platforms where gambling is legal. Abimanyu’s assertion holds that while such activities continue to thrive, the profits generated largely evade the Indonesian tax system—a situation he describes as a missed opportunity for revenue collection.

During an academic address at the Gadjah Mada University (UGM), Abimanyu emphasized, "We’re aware that many underground economy activities go unregistered and untaxed." By proposing a framework for taxing these activities, he aims to not only legitimize them in the eyes of the government but also bring in much-needed revenue.

The Economic Implications of Taxing Gambling

While some may see merit in Abimanyu’s plan, the proposal has faced significant pushback. Economists like Nailul Huda, an expert from the Institute for Development of Economics and Finance (INDEF), argue that such a taxation strategy could inadvertently legitimize harmful behaviors rather than mitigate them. Huda articulated his concerns, stating, "I don’t believe Anggito should have made that statement… Taxing online gambling doesn’t combat the issue; it implicitly legitimizes it by acknowledging it as lawful income, which is detrimental to the country."

Critics highlight that framing online gambling as a taxable income could encourage further participation in these activities. By taxing these revenues, the government may unintentionally signal that online gambling is an accepted and regulated practice, potentially increasing its allure among Indonesians.

The Risks of Normalization

One of the core arguments against Anggito’s proposal is the risk of normalization. By establishing a tax framework for online gambling, there is a real danger that illicit operators could use taxation as a means to paint their operations in a lawful light. Huda, expressing his stance against this potential outcome, cautioned that tax contributions from online gambling may lead some operators to perceive their activities as compliant with national laws, further entrenching these practices within the economy.

This normalization could have long-term social implications, where gambling—often seen as a vice—may become increasingly acceptable, leading to issues such as addiction and financial instability among vulnerable populations.

The Broader Context of Taxation Goals

As Indonesia navigates the complexities of its economic landscape, the government has set ambitious tax revenue targets, reflecting the necessity of diversifying revenue streams. For the 2025 State Budget, officials have targeted an impressive Rp 2,189.3 trillion, with substantial contributions expected from various tax categories. Income tax is projected to yield Rp 1,209.3 trillion, while value-added tax and luxury goods tax are also set to contribute significantly.

Given these pressing financial goals, proponents of taxing the underground economy may argue that every potential revenue stream must be explored. However, as the debate unfolds, it is clear that each option must be weighed against ethical and societal implications. The challenge remains: how can the government balance fiscal needs with the potential risks of encouraging undesirable behaviors?

Conclusion: A Need for Balanced Solutions

As Deputy Finance Minister Anggito Abimanyu continues to defend his proposition, the discussions surrounding the taxation of Indonesia’s underground economy will likely remain heated. Stakeholders must consider the broader consequences of such a strategy, weighing the immediate fiscal benefits against the potential societal harms of normalizing activities such as online gambling.

In an era where economic strategies must evolve to meet modern realities, the dialogue around the underground economy illustrates the delicate balance governments must strike between generating revenue and protecting their citizens. The outcomes of this debate will not only shape Indonesia’s fiscal future but also its social fabric, requiring careful consideration and thoughtful policymaking.

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